Local media scenarios, 2027-28
MethodsExport memo
Capitol County, CT: PaidLower Connecticut River Valley County, CT: PaidNortheastern Connecticut County, CT: PaidSoutheastern Connecticut County, CT: PaidAndroscoggin County, ME: PaidAroostook County, ME: PaidCumberland County, ME: PaidFranklin County, ME: PaidHancock County, ME: PaidKennebec County, ME: PaidKnox County, ME: PaidLincoln County, ME: PaidOxford County, ME: PaidPenobscot County, ME: PaidPiscataquis County, ME: PaidSagadahoc County, ME: PaidSomerset County, ME: PaidWaldo County, ME: PaidWashington County, ME: PaidYork County, ME: PaidBarnstable County, MA: PaidBerkshire County, MA: PaidBristol County, MA: PaidDukes County, MA: PaidEssex County, MA: PaidFranklin County, MA: PaidHampden County, MA: PaidHampshire County, MA: PaidMiddlesex County, MA: PaidNantucket County, MA: PaidNorfolk County, MA: PaidPlymouth County, MA: PaidSuffolk County, MA: PaidWorcester County, MA: PaidBelknap County, NH: PaidCarroll County, NH: PaidCheshire County, NH: PaidCoos County, NH: PaidGrafton County, NH: PaidHillsborough County, NH: PaidMerrimack County, NH: PaidRockingham County, NH: PaidStrafford County, NH: PaidSullivan County, NH: PaidBristol County, RI: PaidKent County, RI: PaidNewport County, RI: PaidProvidence County, RI: PaidWashington County, RI: PaidAddison County, VT: PaidBennington County, VT: PaidCaledonia County, VT: PaidChittenden County, VT: PaidEssex County, VT: PaidFranklin County, VT: PaidGrand Isle County, VT: PaidLamoille County, VT: PaidOrange County, VT: PaidOrleans County, VT: PaidRutland County, VT: PaidWashington County, VT: PaidWindham County, VT: PaidWindsor County, VT: PaidMAINEMARYLANDMASSACHUSETTSNEW HAMPSHIRENEW JERSEYNEW YORKPENNSYLVANIAVERMONTCapitolSoutheastern ConnecticutCumberlandYorkBarnstableEssexHampdenMiddlesexNorfolkHillsboroughProvidenceChittendenStamfordAlbanyNew York

See who can watch Celtics games free today and who would have to pay under the NBA's reported streaming hub.

Scenario

Assumptions

6%
2% to 40%SJazz+, Padres and RSN-era anchors
41
0 to 55SAssumption
$124.99
$79.99 to $199.99SSame as Jazz+ today

Market

Households
5,273,370
Counties
63 in MA, CT, ME, NH, RI and VT
Over the air
None
Today
NBC Sports Boston on Peacock ($14.95/mo)

Today

Paid only, on NBC Sports Boston on Peacock

No local Celtics game is free today. About 291,500 households would pay for NBC Sports Boston on Peacock if 6% sign up.

Households reached
292K
No change
Under-35 households
50K
No change
Games free over the air
11 of 82
No change
Households with no way to watch
414K
No change

A household has no way to watch if it has no antenna signal and no broadband subscription at home. That count comes from FCC and Census data, so the sliders do not change it.

All scenarios

OutputTodayHubHybrid
Households reached292K292K292K
Under-35 households50K50K50K
Rights revenueBlank. Today's revenue is blank because there is no public count of NBC Sports Boston on Peacock subscriptions to base it on.$34M–42M$34M–42M
Friction score220222222

The best value in each row is bold. For friction, lower is better. Today's revenue is blank because there is no public count of NBC Sports Boston on Peacock subscriptions to base it on.

Friction
220
Home the friction score is for
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
11 free over the air55 paid stream16 national exclusive
4 services · $385.50/yr · 8 steps · 27 games on other services

Friction is what it takes this household to watch every game. It counts the services it needs, what they cost and the steps to set them up, so lower is better.

Countyline is an independent analysis by Blake Kahler. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Basketball Association, any NBA team, or any media company named. Names and logos identify the subjects of the analysis. Figures are estimates from public sources, cited on the methods page. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Model v0.3 · data through Oct 6, 2026
Stream only63 counties · 5.27M
292K would pay if 6% sign up
Circle size is households