Local media scenarios, 2027-28
MethodsExport memo
Adair County, IA: PaidAdams County, IA: PaidAllamakee County, IA: PaidAppanoose County, IA: PaidAudubon County, IA: PaidBenton County, IA: PaidBlack Hawk County, IA: PaidBoone County, IA: PaidBremer County, IA: PaidBuchanan County, IA: PaidBuena Vista County, IA: PaidButler County, IA: PaidCalhoun County, IA: PaidCarroll County, IA: PaidCass County, IA: PaidCedar County, IA: PaidCerro Gordo County, IA: PaidCherokee County, IA: PaidChickasaw County, IA: PaidClarke County, IA: PaidClay County, IA: PaidClayton County, IA: PaidClinton County, IA: PaidCrawford County, IA: PaidDallas County, IA: PaidDavis County, IA: PaidDecatur County, IA: PaidDelaware County, IA: PaidDes Moines County, IA: PaidDickinson County, IA: Free on 15 of 82 nightsDubuque County, IA: PaidEmmet County, IA: Free on 15 of 82 nightsFayette County, IA: PaidFloyd County, IA: PaidFranklin County, IA: PaidFremont County, IA: PaidGreene County, IA: PaidGrundy County, IA: PaidGuthrie County, IA: PaidHamilton County, IA: PaidHancock County, IA: PaidHardin County, IA: PaidHarrison County, IA: PaidHenry County, IA: PaidHoward County, IA: PaidHumboldt County, IA: PaidIda County, IA: PaidIowa County, IA: PaidJackson County, IA: PaidJasper County, IA: PaidJefferson County, IA: PaidJohnson County, IA: PaidJones County, IA: PaidKeokuk County, IA: PaidKossuth County, IA: PaidLee County, IA: PaidLinn County, IA: PaidLouisa County, IA: PaidLucas County, IA: PaidLyon County, IA: PaidMadison County, IA: PaidMahaska County, IA: PaidMarion County, IA: PaidMarshall County, IA: PaidMills County, IA: PaidMitchell County, IA: PaidMonona County, IA: PaidMonroe County, IA: PaidMontgomery County, IA: PaidMuscatine County, IA: PaidO'Brien County, IA: PaidOsceola County, IA: PaidPage County, IA: PaidPalo Alto County, IA: PaidPlymouth County, IA: PaidPocahontas County, IA: PaidPolk County, IA: PaidPottawattamie County, IA: PaidPoweshiek County, IA: PaidRinggold County, IA: PaidSac County, IA: PaidScott County, IA: PaidShelby County, IA: PaidSioux County, IA: PaidStory County, IA: PaidTama County, IA: PaidTaylor County, IA: PaidUnion County, IA: PaidVan Buren County, IA: PaidWapello County, IA: PaidWarren County, IA: PaidWashington County, IA: PaidWayne County, IA: PaidWebster County, IA: PaidWinnebago County, IA: PaidWinneshiek County, IA: PaidWoodbury County, IA: PaidWorth County, IA: PaidWright County, IA: PaidAitkin County, MN: PaidAnoka County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsBecker County, MN: PaidBeltrami County, MN: PaidBenton County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsBig Stone County, MN: PaidBlue Earth County, MN: PaidBrown County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsCarlton County, MN: PaidCarver County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsCass County, MN: PaidChippewa County, MN: PaidChisago County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsClay County, MN: PaidClearwater County, MN: PaidCook County, MN: PaidCottonwood County, MN: PaidCrow Wing County, MN: PaidDakota County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsDodge County, MN: PaidDouglas County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsFaribault County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsFillmore County, MN: PaidFreeborn County, MN: PaidGoodhue County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsGrant County, MN: PaidHennepin County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsHouston County, MN: PaidHubbard County, MN: PaidIsanti County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsItasca County, MN: PaidJackson County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsKanabec County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsKandiyohi County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsKittson County, MN: PaidKoochiching County, MN: PaidLac qui Parle County, MN: PaidLake County, MN: PaidLake of the Woods County, MN: PaidLe Sueur County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsLincoln County, MN: PaidLyon County, MN: PaidMcLeod County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsMahnomen County, MN: PaidMarshall County, MN: PaidMartin County, MN: PaidMeeker County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsMille Lacs County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsMorrison County, MN: PaidMower County, MN: PaidMurray County, MN: PaidNicollet County, MN: PaidNobles County, MN: PaidNorman County, MN: PaidOlmsted County, MN: PaidOtter Tail County, MN: PaidPennington County, MN: PaidPine County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsPipestone County, MN: PaidPolk County, MN: PaidPope County, MN: PaidRamsey County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsRed Lake County, MN: PaidRedwood County, MN: PaidRenville County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsRice County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsRock County, MN: PaidRoseau County, MN: PaidSt. Louis County, MN: PaidScott County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsSherburne County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsSibley County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsStearns County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsSteele County, MN: PaidStevens County, MN: PaidSwift County, MN: PaidTodd County, MN: PaidTraverse County, MN: PaidWabasha County, MN: PaidWadena County, MN: PaidWaseca County, MN: PaidWashington County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsWatonwan County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsWilkin County, MN: PaidWinona County, MN: PaidWright County, MN: Free on 15 of 82 nightsYellow Medicine County, MN: PaidAdams County, NE: PaidAntelope County, NE: PaidArthur County, NE: PaidBanner County, NE: PaidBlaine County, NE: PaidBoone County, NE: PaidBox Butte County, NE: PaidBoyd County, NE: PaidBrown County, NE: PaidBuffalo County, NE: PaidBurt County, NE: PaidButler County, NE: PaidCass County, NE: PaidCedar County, NE: PaidChase County, NE: PaidCherry County, NE: PaidCheyenne County, NE: PaidClay County, NE: PaidColfax County, NE: PaidCuming County, NE: PaidCuster County, NE: PaidDakota County, NE: PaidDawes County, NE: PaidDawson County, NE: PaidDeuel County, NE: PaidDixon County, NE: PaidDodge County, NE: PaidDouglas County, NE: PaidDundy County, NE: PaidFillmore County, NE: PaidFranklin County, NE: PaidFrontier County, NE: PaidFurnas County, NE: PaidGage County, NE: PaidGarden County, NE: PaidGarfield County, NE: PaidGosper County, NE: PaidGrant County, NE: PaidGreeley County, NE: PaidHall County, NE: PaidHamilton County, NE: PaidHarlan County, NE: PaidHayes County, NE: PaidHitchcock County, NE: PaidHolt County, NE: PaidHooker County, NE: PaidHoward County, NE: PaidJefferson County, NE: PaidJohnson County, NE: PaidKearney County, NE: PaidKeith County, NE: PaidKeya Paha County, NE: PaidKimball County, NE: PaidKnox County, NE: PaidLancaster County, NE: PaidLincoln County, NE: PaidLogan County, NE: PaidLoup County, NE: PaidMcPherson County, NE: PaidMadison County, NE: PaidMerrick County, NE: PaidMorrill County, NE: PaidNance County, NE: PaidNemaha County, NE: PaidNuckolls County, NE: PaidOtoe County, NE: PaidPawnee County, NE: PaidPerkins County, NE: PaidPhelps County, NE: PaidPierce County, NE: PaidPlatte County, NE: PaidPolk County, NE: PaidRed Willow County, NE: PaidRichardson County, NE: PaidRock County, NE: PaidSaline County, NE: PaidSarpy County, NE: PaidSaunders County, NE: PaidScotts Bluff County, NE: PaidSeward County, NE: PaidSheridan County, NE: PaidSherman County, NE: PaidSioux County, NE: PaidStanton County, NE: PaidThayer County, NE: PaidThomas County, NE: PaidThurston County, NE: PaidValley County, NE: PaidWashington County, NE: PaidWayne County, NE: PaidWebster County, NE: PaidWheeler County, NE: PaidYork County, NE: PaidAdams County, ND: PaidBarnes County, ND: PaidBenson County, ND: PaidBillings County, ND: PaidBottineau County, ND: PaidBowman County, ND: PaidBurke County, ND: PaidBurleigh County, ND: PaidCass County, ND: PaidCavalier County, ND: PaidDickey County, ND: PaidDivide County, ND: PaidDunn County, ND: PaidEddy County, ND: PaidEmmons County, ND: PaidFoster County, ND: PaidGolden Valley County, ND: PaidGrand Forks County, ND: PaidGrant County, ND: PaidGriggs County, ND: PaidHettinger County, ND: PaidKidder County, ND: PaidLaMoure County, ND: PaidLogan County, ND: PaidMcHenry County, ND: PaidMcIntosh County, ND: PaidMcKenzie County, ND: PaidMcLean County, ND: PaidMercer County, ND: PaidMorton County, ND: PaidMountrail County, ND: PaidNelson County, ND: PaidOliver County, ND: PaidPembina County, ND: PaidPierce County, ND: PaidRamsey County, ND: PaidRansom County, ND: PaidRenville County, ND: PaidRichland County, ND: PaidRolette County, ND: PaidSargent County, ND: PaidSheridan County, ND: PaidSioux County, ND: PaidSlope County, ND: PaidStark County, ND: PaidSteele County, ND: PaidStutsman County, ND: PaidTowner County, ND: PaidTraill County, ND: PaidWalsh County, ND: PaidWard County, ND: PaidWells County, ND: PaidWilliams County, ND: PaidAurora County, SD: PaidBeadle County, SD: PaidBennett County, SD: PaidBon Homme County, SD: PaidBrookings County, SD: PaidBrown County, SD: PaidBrule County, SD: PaidBuffalo County, SD: PaidButte County, SD: PaidCampbell County, SD: PaidCharles Mix County, SD: PaidClark County, SD: PaidClay County, SD: PaidCodington County, SD: PaidCorson County, SD: PaidCuster County, SD: PaidDavison County, SD: PaidDay County, SD: PaidDeuel County, SD: PaidDewey County, SD: PaidDouglas County, SD: PaidEdmunds County, SD: PaidFall River County, SD: PaidFaulk County, SD: PaidGrant County, SD: PaidGregory County, SD: PaidHaakon County, SD: PaidHamlin County, SD: PaidHand County, SD: PaidHanson County, SD: PaidHarding County, SD: PaidHughes County, SD: PaidHutchinson County, SD: PaidHyde County, SD: PaidJackson County, SD: PaidJerauld County, SD: PaidJones County, SD: PaidKingsbury County, SD: PaidLake County, SD: PaidLawrence County, SD: PaidLincoln County, SD: PaidLyman County, SD: PaidMcCook County, SD: PaidMcPherson County, SD: PaidMarshall County, SD: PaidMeade County, SD: PaidMellette County, SD: PaidMiner County, SD: PaidMinnehaha County, SD: PaidMoody County, SD: PaidOglala Lakota County, SD: PaidPennington County, SD: PaidPerkins County, SD: PaidPotter County, SD: PaidRoberts County, SD: PaidSanborn County, SD: PaidSpink County, SD: PaidStanley County, SD: PaidSully County, SD: PaidTodd County, SD: PaidTripp County, SD: PaidTurner County, SD: PaidUnion County, SD: PaidWalworth County, SD: PaidYankton County, SD: PaidZiebach County, SD: PaidCOLORADOILLINOISINDIANAIOWAKANSASKENTUCKYMICHIGANMINNESOTAMISSOURIMONTANANEBRASKANORTH DAKOTAOHIOSOUTH DAKOTATENNESSEEUTAHWISCONSINWYOMINGMilwaukeeChicagoKansas CityWinnipegMadisonEau Claire

See who can watch Timberwolves games free today and who would have to pay under the NBA's reported streaming hub.

Scenario

Assumptions

6%
2% to 40%SJazz+, Padres and RSN-era anchors
41
0 to 55SAssumption
$124.99
$79.99 to $199.99SSame as Jazz+ today

Market

Households
5,118,116
Counties
398 in MN, IA, NE, SD and ND
Over the air
KARE 11 and 7 translators
Today
KARE 11 (15 games) + Timberwolves on DAZN ($19.99/mo)

Today

Timberwolves on DAZN, plus 15 games free on KARE 11

Today 1,674,400 households can watch 15 games free on KARE 11. The other 40 local games are on Timberwolves on DAZN, and about 277,600 households would pay for it if 6% sign up.

Households reached
567K
No change
Under-35 households
119K
No change
Games free over the air
26 of 82
No change
Households with no way to watch
468K
No change

A household has no way to watch if it has no antenna signal and no broadband subscription at home. That count comes from FCC and Census data, so the sliders do not change it. These figures are averaged over the 82 games.

All scenarios

OutputTodayHubHybrid
Households reached567K278K1.07M
Under-35 households119K60K221K
Rights revenueBlank. Today's revenue is blank because there is no public count of Timberwolves on DAZN subscriptions to base it on.$32M–34M$27M–29M
Friction score225225225

The best value in each row is bold. For friction, lower is better. Today's revenue is blank because there is no public count of Timberwolves on DAZN subscriptions to base it on.

Friction
225
Home the friction score is for
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
26 free over the air40 paid stream16 national exclusive
4 services · $436.84/yr · 8 steps · 27 games on other services

Friction is what it takes this household to watch every game. It counts the services it needs, what they cost and the steps to set them up, so lower is better.

Countyline is an independent analysis by Blake Kahler. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Basketball Association, any NBA team, or any media company named. Names and logos identify the subjects of the analysis. Figures are estimates from public sources, cited on the methods page. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Model v0.3 · data through Oct 6, 2026
Free on 15 of 82 nights31 counties · 1.67M
Stream only367 counties · 3.44M
185K would pay if 6% sign up
Circle size is households