Local media scenarios, 2027-28
MethodsExport memo
Ada County, ID: PaidBannock County, ID: PaidBear Lake County, ID: Free over the airBingham County, ID: PaidBlaine County, ID: PaidBonneville County, ID: PaidButte County, ID: PaidCamas County, ID: PaidCanyon County, ID: PaidCaribou County, ID: Free over the airCassia County, ID: PaidElmore County, ID: PaidFranklin County, ID: PaidGooding County, ID: PaidJerome County, ID: PaidLincoln County, ID: PaidMinidoka County, ID: PaidOneida County, ID: PaidOwyhee County, ID: PaidPower County, ID: PaidTeton County, ID: PaidTwin Falls County, ID: PaidBeaver County, UT: Free over the airBox Elder County, UT: Free over the airCache County, UT: Free over the airCarbon County, UT: Free over the airDaggett County, UT: Free over the airDavis County, UT: Free over the airDuchesne County, UT: Free over the airEmery County, UT: PaidGarfield County, UT: PaidGrand County, UT: PaidIron County, UT: Free over the airJuab County, UT: PaidKane County, UT: PaidMillard County, UT: PaidMorgan County, UT: Free over the airPiute County, UT: Free over the airRich County, UT: Free over the airSalt Lake County, UT: Free over the airSan Juan County, UT: PaidSanpete County, UT: Free over the airSevier County, UT: Free over the airSummit County, UT: Free over the airTooele County, UT: Free over the airUintah County, UT: Free over the airUtah County, UT: Free over the airWasatch County, UT: Free over the airWashington County, UT: Free over the airWayne County, UT: PaidWeber County, UT: Free over the airCarbon County, WY: PaidFremont County, WY: PaidHot Springs County, WY: PaidLincoln County, WY: PaidNatrona County, WY: PaidSublette County, WY: PaidSweetwater County, WY: PaidTeton County, WY: PaidUinta County, WY: PaidCALIFORNIACOLORADONEVADAUTAHBeaverBox ElderCacheCarbonDaggettDuchesneEmeryGarfieldGrandIronJuabKaneMillardSan JuanSanpeteSevierSummitTooeleUintahWashingtonWayneLas VegasRenoElkoDenverGrand JunctionCheyenneFlagstaffAlbuquerqueFarmingtonDurango

See who can watch Jazz games free today and who would have to pay under the NBA's reported streaming hub.

Scenario

Assumptions

6%
2% to 40%SJazz+, Padres and RSN-era anchors
41
0 to 76SAssumption
$124.99
$79.99 to $199.99SSame as Jazz+ today

Market

Households
1,725,126
Counties
60 in UT, ID and WY
Over the air
KJZZ 14 and 43 translators
Today
KJZZ 14 + Jazz+ ($19.99/mo)

Today

Free on KJZZ 14, or paid on Jazz+

Today 1,102,100 households can watch free on KJZZ 14, and about 34,400 more would pay for Jazz+ if 6% of the rest sign up.

Households reached
1.14M
No change
Under-35 households
287K
No change
Games free over the air
80 of 82
No change
Households with no way to watch
50K
No change

A household has no way to watch if it has no antenna signal and no broadband subscription at home. That count comes from FCC and Census data, so the sliders do not change it.

All scenarios

OutputTodayHubHybrid
Households reached1.14M96K616K
Under-35 households287K23K155K
Rights revenueBlank. Today's revenue is blank until someone enters over-the-air ad revenue.$9.8M–34M$8.3M–29M
Friction score479393

The best value in each row is bold. For friction, lower is better. Today's revenue is blank until someone enters over-the-air ad revenue.

Friction
47
Home the friction score is for
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
80 free over the air0 paid stream2 national exclusive
3 services · $46.98/yr · 6 steps · 2 games on other services

Friction is what it takes this household to watch every game. It counts the services it needs, what they cost and the steps to set them up, so lower is better.

Countyline is an independent analysis by Blake Kahler. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the National Basketball Association, any NBA team, or any media company named. Names and logos identify the subjects of the analysis. Figures are estimates from public sources, cited on the methods page. This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Model v0.3 · data through Oct 6, 2026
Free over the air23 counties · 1.1M
Stream only37 counties · 623K
34K would pay if 6% sign up
Circle size is households