A paid-only hub would take free games away from 1,102,100 households in the Jazz market.

Today1.14MFree on KJZZ 14, or paid on Jazz+

Hub96KAll local games on the league's paid hub

Hybrid616KHub, with 41 games also free on KJZZ 14

Free over the air

Free on 41 of 82 nights

Stream only

Circle size is households

Circle size is households. Counties: Census 2024.

Findings

Going paid-only takes free games away from 1,102,100 households. If 6% sign up, the hub reaches 96,300, compared with 1,136,500 today.
If 41 games stay on KJZZ 14 and that costs the team 15% of its hub money, 1,102,100 households still watch those free.
Among households headed by someone under 35, the hub reaches 22,800 if 6% sign up, compared with 287,200 today.

Output	Today	Hub	Hybrid
Households reached	1.14M	96K	616K
Under-35 households	287K	23K	155K
Rights revenue	Blank. Today's revenue is blank until someone enters over-the-air ad revenue.	$9.8M–34M	$8.3M–29M
Friction score	47	93	93

The best value in each row is bold. For friction, lower is better. Today's revenue is blank until someone enters over-the-air ad revenue.

Hub rights pool	$850M to $1.2B a year, split by market value	DSBJ via MarketScale, Aug 17, 2026
Jazz share	1.2% to 4% of the pool	ICountyline method
Jazz+ price	$19.99 a month or $124.99 a year	DSEG+ support center, Aug 3, 2026
Jazz+ subscriptions	20,000 or more, the last public count	DNext TV, Mar 11, 2024
Hub pay cut for the simulcast	15%, from 0% to 30%. No public deal discloses one	SAssumption
Sign-up rate	6% of homes with no free option, 1.0× for under-35s	SJazz+, Padres and RSN-era anchors